Research Library

Institutional research across
AI infrastructure and technology.

Each report combines SEC filing intelligence, financial signal analysis, transcript intelligence, and sector ecosystem mapping into a single conviction framework. Free samples available — no account required.

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NVDA · AI Infrastructure · Variant Perception — Free Sample
"$NVDA's most recent 10-Q: 'AI' frequency fell 76% from the prior filing. The narrative the market is pricing hasn't changed. The narrative management is writing has. Filing language drifts before earnings do."
Source: SEC 10-Q filing delta analysis, June 2026  ·  Request full report →
TSM · Foundry · Variant Perception — Free Sample
"NVDA's Blackwell. Apple's A18. AMD's MI300X. All TSM N3/N2. No one else makes these chips. That's pricing power, not just scale. Consensus models wafer volume. The real driver is ASP per wafer — which High-NA EUV is inflecting upward."
Source: World model — competitive positioning, foundry ecosystem, June 2026  ·  Request full report →
AMD · AI Compute Challenger · Conviction Framing — Free Sample
"The $AMD AI thesis rests on one assumption: customers migrate meaningful workloads from CUDA to ROCm. If not: GPU revenue plateaus at $8–10B vs. consensus $20B+. Multiple compresses from 90x to 30–40x EV/EBITDA. Software is the thesis. Track it."
Source: World model — fragility analysis, ROCm adoption evidence, June 2026  ·  Request full report →
PLTR · AI Analytics · Monitoring Signal — Free Sample
"$PLTR at 60x EV/Revenue. One thing holds that up: AIP Boot Camps converting fast enough to sustain 20%+ US commercial growth. If that rate softens: multiple compresses to 25–30x EV/Revenue, re-rates from AI platform to defense IT. Measure it quarterly."
Source: World model — fragility factors, commercial segment analysis, June 2026  ·  Request full report →
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NVDA · NVIDIA Corporation
Priced for Perfection — The Demand Softness Signal
EV/Revenue at 25.1x. Historical-high multiples across P/E, EV/EBITDA, and P/FCF. Gross margin at 75% is real. So is the new risk factor: 'demand_softness' appearing in the 10-K for the first time, with 1,000% frequency increase.
6.2/10 Conviction
Premium June 2026
Variant: 'AI' frequency in 10-Q fell 76% — narrative drift the multiple has not priced. Request →
Flagship
AMD · Advanced Micro Devices
The AI Challenger — Software Is the Thesis
18.2x EV/Revenue. 32.7x forward P/E (trailing: 140.9x). The entire multiple is a bet on AMD closing the software gap with CUDA. Meta's MI300X deployment is the proof point. ROCm momentum is faster than consensus models.
5.5/10 Conviction
Premium June 2026
Fragility: ROCm adoption stalls → $8–10B vs. consensus $20B+ GPU revenue. Request →
Flagship
AVGO · Broadcom Inc.
The SaaS Business Hidden Inside a Chip Company
CA, Symantec, and VMware: $20B+ in high-margin software revenue. VMware converting perpetual licenses to subscriptions. Consensus assigns it a chip multiple. The NRR compounding from VMware isn't in any model.
6.5/10 Conviction
Premium June 2026
Monitoring: VMware quarterly ARR — bull: 20%+ QoQ, on track to $20B+ annualized. Request →
Flagship
TSM · Taiwan Semiconductor
N3/N2 Monopoly — The Pricing Power Story
TSM is the only foundry capable of fabricating NVDA Blackwell, Apple A18, and AMD MI300X at N3/N2. Consensus models volume. ASP per wafer is the real driver, inflecting upward as High-NA EUV transitions raise per-tool economics.
6.0/10 Conviction
Premium June 2026
Tail risk: Taiwan Strait stability. Low probability, catastrophic if wrong. Request →
Flagship
PLTR · Palantir Technologies
60x Revenue — The Framework That Has to Be True
Ontology lock-in: rip-and-replace costs 2–3x the annual platform price. AIP Boot Camp conversion is moat expansion, not just growth. The right metric is net dollar retention in commercial — not top-line growth.
5.0/10 Conviction
Premium June 2026
Fragility: AIP conversion rate softens → 60x compresses to 25–30x EV/Revenue. Request →
Flagship
AMZN · Amazon.com
The Advertising Business No One Is Valuing Correctly
Amazon Advertising: $60B+ run-rate, 50%+ margins, growing faster than AWS. Every sum-of-parts model assigns it a retail multiple. It deserves an ad-platform multiple. That gap is the mispricing.
5.5/10 Conviction
Premium June 2026
Monitoring: AWS quarterly revenue growth rate vs. 20% threshold. Request →
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